Montag, 12. Juli 2010

And Now: The Spillover

On Sunday 64 people were killed in a suicide bombing in Kampala, the capital of Uganda. Authorities assume that the bombing was carried out by a Somali terrorist, probably close to the al-Shabaab militia. Al-Shabaab is currently fighting the weak Somalia Transitional Federal Government (TFG) and has threatened for quite a while to attack countries that send peacekeepers to Somalia. They have targeted a group of people watching the world-cup. That certainly is not a coincidence, al-Shabaab has banned watching the world-cup in Somalia as well. Looks like soccer is following sex on the list of evil Western ideas.

However, the incident is a clear indication that the international community's current strategy for Somalia is not working (that is if one is bold enough to call it strategy). The TFG clearly wouldn't survive without the presence of Ugandan AU forces. On the other hand, there is absolutely no progress in finding a more integrative political solution to the situation. Where does that leave us? Well, someone should better start thinking about how to contain the mess (and please withstand the temptation to call in the Ethiopians). A decent place to start would be Somaliland. If we can't build a government in Mogadishu, maybe its time to recognise those that have managed to do so themselves in the country's Northern part.

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